Cheltenham Festival Big Race Trends

Cheltenham Festival TrendsThe Cheltenham Festival is the highlight to the National Hunt racing calendar and with the occasion just a matter of weeks away we thought we would start looking at the Cheltenham Festival big race trends to help your horse racing betting experience more profitable. You maybe wondering if the Cheltenham Festival big race trends can really help you find a winner and the simply answer is yes. Without looking at past Cheltenham Festival big race trends you will be betting blind unless you had a tip which would have most probably come from somebody looking at past trends.
 


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Cheltenham Gold Cup

The Cheltenham Gold Cup is the pinnacle race of the Cheltenham Festival and takes place on the final day of the four day meeting. It’s run over three miles two and a half furlongs and there are 22 fences in total to be tackled over the new course. It’s open for five-year-old horses and upwards and is carries a prize fund of £500,000. Previous winners include Arkle, Golden Miller, Desert Orchid, Best Mate and more recently Kauto Star.

  • 10 out of the last 10 winners had run between two and five times in the season
  • 10 out of the last 10 winners had previously won a Grade One chase
  • 10 out of the last 10 winners were in the first three horses in the betting
  • Nine out of the last 10 winners had won or been placed at a previous Festival's
  • Nine out of the last 10 winners were aged between seven and nine
  • Seven of the last 10 winners had run in the King George VI Chase

The Arkle Trophy

The Arkle Trophy takes place on the opening day of the Cheltenham Festival and is run over two miles. It’s open to horses aged five years or older and takes place over the old course. It’s seen as the leading race for novices over the distance and with 20 fences to jump it’s a true test of a horse’s ability.

  • Seven of the last eighteen winners have been French bred
  • Three of the last 14 winners have been Irish bred
  • 23 out of the last 25 winners finished first or second in their last race prior to the Festival
  • 11 out of the past 12 winner had a rating of 142 or more over hurdles
  • Only three favourites have won from the last 21 winners
  • Five-year-olds have a poor record in this race having only won four of the last 13
  • Last four winners were all priced 6/1 or 8/1
  • 10 out of the last 12 winners won a novice chase by the first week in December

World Hurdle

The World Hurdle is a Grade 1 race open to horses aged four years and upwards. It’s run over a distance of three miles and takes place on the new course. There are in total twelve hurdles to tackle and it's the feature race on the third day of the Festival.

  • Five-year-old horses have never won the World Hurdle
  • Six of the last 10 winners were French bred horses
  • The last Irish trained horse to win this race was Doran’s Pride in 1995
  • Only four horses from outside the top four in the betting have been placed since 2002
  • Big Buck’s has won this race the last three times
  • 16 of the last 18 winners had run at a previous Cheltenham Festival

Queen Mother Champion Chase

The Queen Mother Champion Chase is a Grade 1 race open to horses aged five years and upwards. It’s run over a distance of two miles and takes place over the old course. It’s the feature race on the second day of the Festival and horses have 12 fences to jump. 

  • Last 14 winners had raced no more than four times in the season
  • Eight of the last 11 winners had taken part in the Tingle Creek at Sandown
  • Nine of the last 10 winners were rated 160 or more
  • Nine of the last 10 winners had won at least one Grade 1 race
  • Five of the last nine winners were Irish trained
  • 13 of the last 19 winners had won a race at the Festival before
  • 10 of the last 13 winners were 5/1 or shorter in the betting
  • Only four horse from the last 30 winners were double figure priced
  • Five of the last 11 winners were French bred
  • Paul Nicholls has a great record in this race having four winners and five placed horses since 1999

Supreme Novices Hurdle

The Supreme Novices’ Hurdle is a Grade 1 race and is open to horses aged four years and upwards. It’s run over two miles and 110 furlongs and takes place over the old course. It’s the opening race to the Festival with horses having to tackle a total of eight hurdles.

  • 13 of the last 15 winners had won last time out
  • 33 out of the last 37 winners were aged five or six
  • Eight of the last 13 winners were Irish trained
  • Three of the last 16 winners were at odds of 3/1 or shorter
  • Only three favourites have won this race in the last 20 races
  • The last four-year-old to win this race was King Pele in 1973
  • 11 of the last 12 winners had run in the previous 45 days

Ryanair Chase

The Ryanair Chase is a Grade 1 race and is open to horses aged five-years-old and upwards. It takes place on the old course over a total distance of two miles and five furlongs. In total there are 17 fences to be jumped and it takes place on the third day of the Festival.

  • All previous six winners had won at the Festival before
  • Four of the seven winners to date had run in the Paddy Power Gold Cup
  • Six of the seven winners were 6/1 or shorter
  • The last four winners all took part in the King George VI Chase
  • No Irish trainer has ever won this race

RSA Steeple Chase

The RSA Chase is seen by many trainers as the springboard to the Cheltenham Gold Cup. It’s a Grade 1 race run over three miles. It takes place over the old course and in total there are 19 fences to be jumped.

  • 23 of the last 24 winners finished first or second last time out
  • Only two six-year-olds have won this race since 1978
  • The last 12 winners had raced a minimum of three times over the larger obstacles
  • 16 of the last 19 winners were running in novice hurdle company the previous season
  • 10 of the last 12 winners were aged seven
  • Willie Mullins has a great record in this race with five of his 11 runners have finished in the first two

Champion Hurdle

The Champions Hurdle is the feature race of the opening day of the Festival and is run over two miles and 110 yards. In total there are eight hurdles to tackle and is a true test of ability and stamina.

  • 24 of the last 28 winners had won last time out
  • 17 of the last 21 winners were in the first five horses in the betting
  • Eight of the last 13 winners were Irish trained
  • 16 of the last 23 winners had won a race at Cheltenham before
  • Only three winners have been aged eight or over since 1951
  • Only one five-year-old has won in the last 25 years
  • Three favourites have won in the last 10 years
  • Six of the last 10 winners were priced 9/1 or bigger

Triumph Hurdle

The Triumph Hurdle is the opening race on the final day of the Festival. It’s a Grade 1 race for four-year-olds and is run over two miles and a furlong.

  • 16 of the last 18 winners won last time out
  • 18 of the last 21 winners had run a minimum of three times over hurdles
  • The last 13 winners had all run over one mile four furlongs on the flat
  • 15 of the last 18 winners had won a minimum of two races over hurdles
  • 12 of the last 17 winners started in the top four of the betting
  • Only one favourite has won in the last 10 years
  • 11 of the last 13 winners were rated 140 or more

Champion Bumper

The Champion Bumper is the only flat race run at the Festival and is open to horses between four and six. It’s run over two miles and half a furlong and takes place on the old course. It’s seen as the springboard for horses wishing to tackle obstacles and in the past has produced winners such as Florida Pearl and Dunguib.

  • 17 of the last 19 winners won last time out
  • 13 of the last 14 winners were aged five or six
  • Six of the last nine winners had competed in a minimum of three bumpers prior to the Festival
  • 15 of the last 19 winners were Irish bred
  • 11 of the last 19 winners were unbeaten in bumpers
  • Only three favourites have won in the last 19 races
  • 14 of the last 19 winners started in the first six in the betting
  • Willie Mullins has won six of the last 15 races

Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

The Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle is a Grade 1 race open to horse aged four years and older. It takes place on the new course and is run over a distance of three miles.

  • Seven of the last seven winners had won over two miles four furlongs or more
  • Seven of the last seven winners had run a minimum of three runs over hurdles
  • Six out of the last seven winners were in the first five horses in the betting
  • Six out of the last seven winners were aged six or seven
  • Four of the last six winners had won over the course before
  • 16 of the last 18 win and placed horses had finished first or second in the final prep race

Grand Annual Chase

The Grand Annual is the final race of the Cheltenham Festival and is open to horses aged five years or older. It’s run on the new course where horses tackle fourteen fences over two miles and 110 yards.

  • Nine or the last 11 winners were rated between 129 and 134
  • Seven of the last 10 winners had previously won at Cheltenham
  • 10 out of the last 10 winners had won no more than one race in the season leading up to the Festival
  • 10 out of the last 10 winners had won over two miles one furlong or more
  • Nine out of the last 10 winners carried 10st 11lb or less
  • Nine out of the last 10 winners were aged nine-year-old or younger
  • Seven out of the last 10 winners had run at the Festival before

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