Fixed Odds Trebles
Although online sports betting sites allow bettors to place bets on individual football matches, the idea of landing a winning fixed odds treble (a bet that three football matches will all result as predicted) is as appealing as it ever was. As well as the kudos that is associated with ‘getting a treble up’, landing a winning treble also gives the bettor a bigger payoff than he would get by dividing the same outlay between the three matches and betting on them as singles.
The odds paid about any accumulator bet are equal to the odds of individual outcomes multiplied together. A treble made up of three outcomes offered at odds of 1/2, 1/1 and 1/1 would therefore pay overall odds of 5/1, which isn’t bad when you consider that no outcome is priced bigger than even money.
Having established that winning fixed odds trebles are something to be desired, the next question is rather more challenging, and that is: How do you achieve it? Well, there is no single approach that is guaranteed, but the following guidelines should certainly put you on the right track…
Fixed Odds treble tips
Only bet on fancied home wins. Home advantage counts for a lot in football, and so does form and the opinion of the bookmaker. It therefore makes sense to focus on matches where the home side is fancied to win according to form (see this Football Tip for a great approach) and where the home win is clear favourite according to the bookies. Odds of 1/1 or less will usually provide the highest strike rate, but feel free to experiment with odds of up to 11/8 if you don’t mind the additional risk involved.
Do not bet on more than one treble per day. If you have identified more than three matches in which you think that the home win looks good, focus on the best three matches and bet on one treble rather than betting on several trebles just for the sake of having more bets.
Avoid high-risk matches. This means avoiding cup ties, local derby games, international matches and those where there is any reason to believe that the home team on the pitch will not be at full strength (for example, avoid matches involving any reserve team).
Those three tips alone could help you to land more fixed odds trebles, but our final tip could be the one that really scores for you, and that is to consider placing three bets – one for all three matches to result as home wins, one where your weakest selection is covered for a draw and one where your second weakest selection is covered for a draw.
For example, if your three selections were Man Utd, Arsenal and Chelsea, and Man Utd was your strongest selection, your three bets would be:
Man Utd 1 1 1
Arsenal 1 1 X
Chelsea 1 X 1
Calculate the odds offered for each treble and adjust your stake on each so that you would get the same return no matter which treble wins. For example, if the first treble paid 5/1 and the other two paid 8/1 each, you could bet £22.22 on the first treble and £13.89 on each of the other two trebles (total £50 outlay) to get a return of £111.10 (which means a profit of £61.10) if any one of your trebles wins.
Of course, even if you were to cover three possible outcomes as shown above there is still no guarantee that one of them would win (football results have a habit of surprising bettors at the most inconvenient times) but at least you wouldn’t be putting all of your eggs in one basket.
Try paper trading these ideas for a week or two and see what you think. Then, if you decide that they could be helpful to you, have a go at winning fixed odds trebles for real, and good luck!
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